CNN political analyst and former Trump 2020 Director of Strategic Communications Marc Lotter says early voting numbers spell trouble for Democrats in key battleground states. According to Lotter, the data shows Democrats are struggling to maintain the lead they need to stay competitive, indicating their hold on these swing states is slipping.
“The math doesn’t work,” Lotter said, breaking down the numbers. He pointed out that Democrats are down by 1.7 million early votes in urban areas of battleground states, where they traditionally count on heavy support. Additionally, the party is lagging by 1.4 million votes among women, another crucial group for Democrats in close races.
BREAKING: “The margins don't add up right now for the Democrats in any of these battleground states," according to former VP press secretary Marc Lotter. pic.twitter.com/1PKn8qF54C
— Leading Report (@LeadingReport) November 5, 2024
These deficits raise serious questions about Democrats’ chances to secure battleground wins, Lotter explained. If these trends hold, Democrats may fall short in states they typically rely on, signaling potential losses across the board.
Lotter also highlighted surprising strength in early voting from rural areas, which lean heavily Republican. According to his analysis, rural voters have “overperformed early by 300,000,” a significant factor that could boost Republican numbers in battlegrounds. Traditionally, Republicans make up ground on Election Day, while Democrats usually rely on early voting.
For Democrats, falling behind before Election Day presents a major hurdle. Lotter stressed that, given the turnout so far, they would have to pull off an impressive Election Day showing to reverse these trends.
"The numbers don't add up [for the democrats]"
Their only move is to cheat. We all know it's coming.pic.twitter.com/Wcm2KMxPEw
— Jimmy™ (@jimomics) November 5, 2024
If Republican voters turn out in strong numbers today, the early deficits facing Democrats could lead to widespread losses in battleground states, opening a clear path for President Donald Trump to retake the White House.