GOP Hopeful For ‘Realistic’ Flip Of Senate In 2024

Republicans have renewed hope that they could recapture the majority in the U.S. Senate following the 2024 election.

In addition to the announced retirement of Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), Democrats are going to have to defend twice as many Senate seats as Republicans will in the upcoming election cycle.

A total of 20 incumbent Democrats will be seeking re-election compared to only 11 Republicans. In addition, three additional seats that are occupied by independent senators who caucus with the Democrats will be up for re-election.

Essentially, this means that the GOP will have the chance to flip 23 seats compared to only 11 for Democrats.

Even though Republicans have fallen well short of expectations in each of the last three election cycles, there is renewed optimism for conservatives heading into 2024.

According to The Cook Political Report — a non-partisan website that ranks the likely outcome for each political election — nine of the 11 Senate seats that Republicans will be defending are “solid Republican,” while the other two are “likely Republican.”

Fifteen of the 23 seats that Democrats are defending are either “solid” or “likely” Democrat. But, seats in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Michigan are labeled “lean Democrat,” and three other states — Ohio, Montana and Arizona — are labeled as “toss-ups.”

Democrats currently hold a slim 51-49 majority in the upper chamber of Congress. That means liberals can only afford to lose one seat to hold onto the majority — and that will only happen if Democrats retain control of the White House with a re-election win by President Joe Biden.

A 50-50 split with a win by presumed GOP candidate Donald Trump would give Republicans the technical majority of the Senate.

There’s a lot yet to be decided in the elections, of course, with about 11 months until voters will head to the polls across the country. And, as is often the case in congressional elections, how the country feels about presidential politics will likely play a huge role in the outcome of the Senate election.

In other words, if Trump fares well at the polls, it’s likely that Senate Republican candidates might, too.