President Donald Trump has pulled within striking distance of Vice President Kamala Harris in New Hampshire, according to a new Emerson College/WHDH poll conducted from Oct. 21-23. The poll indicates Harris leading Trump by just three points, with 50% of likely voters supporting her and 47% backing Trump. Third-party candidates receive 2%, and 1% of voters remain undecided.
The narrow margin signals a competitive race in a state the GOP hasn’t won in a presidential election since 2000. In 2020, Biden carried New Hampshire by over 7%. Recent polling shows a shift among male voters in favor of Trump, while Harris retains her advantage among women voters, similar to Biden’s 2020 numbers.
Spencer Kimball of Emerson College Polling commented on the shift, saying, “Male voters have shifted about two points toward Trump, while Harris’ margin among women remains similar to Biden’s in 2020.” He also noted that Harris is underperforming with independent voters compared to Biden, as her lead is smaller than his was in the last election.
Economic concerns dominate New Hampshire voters’ priorities, with 34% listing the economy as their top issue, followed by 26% citing housing costs. Trump’s campaign is focused on these concerns, promoting his plans for job creation and financial recovery. Harris faces the challenge of addressing these economic anxieties to consolidate her support.
Additional polls show Harris facing challenges in key voter groups. An Arab News/YouGov poll shows Trump leading Harris among Arab American voters, with 45% to her 43%. This demographic could be influential in swing states like Michigan, where her campaign is focusing efforts.
As the election approaches, a Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump ahead of Harris nationally, with a narrow 47%-45% lead, indicating an increasingly tight race.